Homeblack moneyThe day India’s fate changed for better

The day India’s fate changed for better

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I was in the UK attending a tourism
meet when I was raising a toast for Trump, not because I agree with his
indiscretions etc but
because I was right. I was right in believing
in June just after Brexit that Trump would really prove all pollsters wrong.
And he did. But what greatly enhanced the feel and the high of the bubbly on my
tongue that evening was the announcement of demonetisation and scrapping of the
2 largest denomination notes in India.
And that I thought required balls of
steel and is the single biggest revolutionary step since the reforms of 1991.
And while the naysayers, most of them
uneducated or politicians (read opposition), are crying hoarse over the move
and marching around the parliament over-amplifying the plight of the people
facing some difficulties, most cannot bear the shock of seeing their ill-gotten
wealth become worthless in a fraction of a second. Mark my words no one of
these protesters is worried about the poor farmer of an auto driver who is
facing the difficulty. Most of these drama masters are suddenly cashless for
there are assembly elections round the corner and election in India cannot be
fought without cash in hand.
As a salaried employee since last 23
years, I haven’t really understood – what is black money. Never felt it, never
touched it. But made me angry, very angry, to see people around me earning
less, paying a fraction of income tax that i pay and having a better lifestyle
than me, showing off cars that they don’t deserve to drive or haven’t earned
with their hard work, working much lesser than me, less educated than me, and
having seen no struggle in life. All thanks to a well-oiled machinery that
generated a parallel economy – some say 50% of India’s GDP.
Paying cash for jewellery, land,
holidays and cars had become a fashion statement and this breed with swathes
and swathes of black money had blatant disregard of the nation or of the honest
tax payer.
How would we expect the governments
to develop infrastructure when infinitely large amounts of money for public
welfare would get siphoned off because of the fertile environment that accepts
and breeds black money.
It’s a sad state for any nation that
among the ‘global lasts’ in ease of doing business
Why : because an honest entrepreneur
just cannot wade his way through setting up an enterprise without the infinite
hurdles of bureaucracy and archaic laws and unfriendly labour policies. At
every step businesses have to earmark upto 15% of their capital to grease the
system to facilitate licenses and permissions. By the way that’s if one doesn’t
have to give a 20% equity to the politician in power.
It’s a sad state for any nation when
a person walking on a footpath just drops down in a gutter and dies.
Why : because the local area engineer
has taken a bribe or allowed the contractor to go scot-free without really
completing the job.
It’s a sad state for any nation when
banks lend to corporate entities without an adequate collateral cover and
hundreds of billions of dollars of loans become delinquent.
Why : because of an inconvenient
relationship between bankers, politicians and unscrupulous entrepreneurs.
The list and arguments are long but
the gist is clear. The nation where 50% of its economy is a shadow and
unreported, it will always create hyperinflation and assets and commodities
will be unaffordable to a common man.
Modi has come so far, What he has
done can cost him elections in 2019, the vote bank at the bottom of the pyramid
is huge and today they are the ones who are in queues for hours trying to
exchange a mere Rs 2000 (250 USD). Modi must hold his ground and take this
mission to a meaningful closure thru a few simple steps such as.
  1. Make income tax records
    and returns of every individual in public domain. So that for every thousand rupees
    spent beyond a persons means, there are a thousand eyes that observe and
    report.
  2. Modi gave every Indian an
    opportunity to open a bank account, the same should be made compulsory by law and
    no one should be allowed to deposit or withdraw more than Rs 2000 ever.
  3. Facilitate the digital
    environment of wallets and cash transfers. Whether one is buying a kilo of
    potatoes or an apartment worth 10 million USD, choke the system to an extent
    that only a bank transfer or a digital payment works. PAYTM, MOBIQUICK, and the
    likes of these companies can play a significant role in building a transparent
    nation.
  4. Reduce banking transaction
    costs on credit/debit cards to a few basis points rather than the present few
    hundred basis points.
  5. Make any cash more than a
    couple of thousands worthless. If you cannot transact in cash, you would not
    want to generate it.
  6. Rather than reducing the
    size of balance sheet of the central bank (RBI) to the extent of the monies
    collected, spend this money on building roads and airports for next 20 years
    and not for the next 2 – which in the present scheme, by the time are
    commissioned are already out of capacity.
  7. Create a central registry
    of all land records and link transactions to Aadhar and PAN to reflect in form
    26 AS.
  8. Above all, rudimentary as
    it may sound, pass a motion in parliament wherein financial misappropriation is
    treated as severely as rape or murder in the eyes of law.

Aristotle aptly said about 2300 yrs ago that “Man when perfected,
is the best of animals, but when separated from law and justice, he is the
worst of all”
Let the fear of law and judiciary
percolate in the minds of every Indian citizen.
I wasn’t the biggest fan of PM Modi
and believed that I had strong arguments in disagreeing with his rhetoric of
his vision of India and his actions thereof. But today I believe that just that
extra push, just that little reform, just that fear of God and justice can set
India on a path to being a nation that it was
3 centuries ago when India’s GDP was 25 %
of the world GDP.

Mr. Modi I am changing my opinion and
I am falling in love with you, you are just a few steps away. Hold your courage
of conviction in what you are doing.

10 COMMENTS

  1. I agree with you Manu, although there are few problems which people are facing and few things could have been done better, like limit the times individual could change the currency, and using post office also for currency exchange. Cash economy had flourish well after the independence, and it really needed someone to take that bold step to stop, although its not enough but atleast there is a start, hope now Mr Modi quickly do something about the properties accumulated under bogus names and relatives of corrupt black money hoarders. Its impossible for a common man to buy a decent home with an honest income. I feel so proud that its happening in my lifetime. Time for well educated and sincere people to serve India as a politician.

  2. Hello Mr. Manu. Ganapathy. All along I was saying believe in the best and Mr. Modi is the best. Only person who has shown the dustbin to the black money wallahs. He should not come down from his stance hopefully.

  3. Manu… Reads brilliantly…. But I don't agree…. I live in rural India and as glamorous as "digital India " may sound to the educated and the urban.. It's still an alien concept to at least 70 percent… That includes old… Disabled… Women… Why go far… Even my own ma….
    The concept undoubtedly is great… But the fringes needed to be sorted before it was implemented in a country like ours….

  4. Manu- your 8 pointers, if implemented, will prove the balls to be of titanium and not steel.

    I am in agreement to all the reforms that can be done but 2 facts need to be taken into account.

    1. Common man (read tax payer) and poor should get a treatment commensurate to their contribution as a tax payer, which is not happening now.

    2. Due diligence and step wise changes to be introduced as our bureaucratic channels are not used to such swift implementations.

    Rest is fine and May God bless this wonderful land.

  5. Black money is now in us dollars… parallel economy..! Cashless transaction is for Paytm and mobile companies to make a billion out of you..who owns Paytm..? What is reliance Jio based on internet data usage so calls are free..
    90%of black money is out of the country or in gold or property..!
    Surgical strike has killed the patient..!
    Coz balls is steel had no plan for the day after … ad-hoc cover up for the looting planned thru data and cash wallets …
    And btw Mr Modi fan…it's $25 not 250 that I queue for to pay my auto driver, fish seller and milkman
    Just fifty more days twice over

    Into that heaven of freedom let my country awake…

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Manu Rishi Guptha

CEO and Founder - MRG Capital - SEBI Registered PMS

MBA (Warwick Business School, UK) with 25 years of senior management experience in the hospitality industry and Fund Management. Held top management position in a number of pioneering hotel projects. Successful track record in asset, financial and operational management, market development, stakeholder relationship - development and management, customer and human capital retention.

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